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Vounderbar11 (August 30, 2008 at 4:55 am)
now i see, this guys explanation helps:
"It helps if you think of an extreme example. Suppose you have 100 doors (99 goats and 1 car) and you choose one door. Then the host opens 98 doors with goats behind them. So what you have left is the door you chose and another door with either a goat or car (99% chance it is a car) If you switch doors you are virtually guaranteed to win the car"
Vounderbar11 (August 30, 2008 at 4:40 am)
i just can't agree with this, when the host opens a new door he creates a new variable. you can't go back to the first equation and play with that one because he's created a new one...
L2kamenos (August 28, 2008 at 3:46 pm)
this shit its easy always have 50/50 possibility to won the car...why??? cause this asshole show u the goat so u have to pick in 2 doors so either swap or not swap is same....
tubesurfer07 (August 28, 2008 at 6:17 am)
don't know about you guys, but I'm liking my odds on getting that goat!
MustardMunkey (August 26, 2008 at 6:29 pm)
You're right...these people are idiots. You get 1 choice so there is no probability or percentage. They say you win 2 of the 3 times you pick. PROBLEM IS - YOU ONLY PICK 1 TIME.
ares213 (August 26, 2008 at 4:32 am)
I didn't feel like doing it much more than that, but eventually my friend understood why the probabilities are the way they are.
niansenx (August 25, 2008 at 11:02 am)
In fact, this is the reason why the answer to the Monty Hall problem (always swap) does not apply to "Deal or No Deal". The cases are not opened by the host with the knowledge of where the biggest prize is, they are just opened at random by the contestant.
letsgowhitesox16 (August 24, 2008 at 5:17 pm)
learned this from 21
niansenx (August 23, 2008 at 5:29 pm)
The Host always opens a door to reveal a goat, that's one of the rules of the game. If he revealed the car it would be easy to win it!
snuffau (August 23, 2008 at 7:40 am)
50 times is hardly a decent sample size. |
